Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000866 0.000986 0.001112 0.001255 0.001412 0.001579 0.001770
2025-02-23 0.000672 0.000837 0.001024 0.001248 0.001509 0.001802 0.002153
2025-03-02 0.000578 0.000765 0.000986 0.001262 0.001595 0.001981 0.002457
2025-03-09 0.000483 0.000677 0.000917 0.001227 0.001615 0.002076 0.002661
2025-03-16 0.000409 0.000606 0.000857 0.001194 0.001627 0.002155 0.002840
2025-03-23 0.000361 0.000561 0.000826 0.001191 0.001672 0.002272 0.003066
2025-03-30 0.000321 0.000523 0.000799 0.001190 0.001716 0.002386 0.003287
2025-04-06 0.000284 0.000484 0.000767 0.001178 0.001743 0.002476 0.003477
2025-04-13 0.000248 0.000444 0.000729 0.001155 0.001753 0.002542 0.003636
2025-04-20 0.000231 0.000430 0.000727 0.001179 0.001826 0.002691 0.003906
2025-04-27 0.000213 0.000413 0.000718 0.001194 0.001886 0.002824 0.004157
2025-05-04 0.000190 0.000385 0.000692 0.001180 0.001903 0.002897 0.004327
2025-05-11 0.000168 0.000356 0.000661 0.001159 0.001910 0.002959 0.004485
2025-05-18 0.000154 0.000341 0.000653 0.001172 0.001966 0.003089 0.004741
2025-05-25 0.000141 0.000326 0.000643 0.001179 0.002014 0.003208 0.004982
2025-06-01 0.000123 0.000299 0.000609 0.001148 0.002001 0.003240 0.005101
2025-06-08 0.000107 0.000273 0.000576 0.001116 0.001985 0.003266 0.005210
2025-06-15 0.000097 0.000259 0.000563 0.001113 0.002015 0.003357 0.005414
2025-06-22 0.000088 0.000245 0.000550 0.001112 0.002045 0.003449 0.005621
2025-06-29 0.000078 0.000230 0.000532 0.001100 0.002058 0.003516 0.005791
2025-07-06 0.000069 0.000213 0.000509 0.001078 0.002054 0.003556 0.005921
2025-07-13 0.000065 0.000209 0.000511 0.001101 0.002123 0.003708 0.006220
2025-07-20 0.000061 0.000204 0.000509 0.001116 0.002178 0.003839 0.006490